Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Crewe U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Arsenal U18 at 1.55 per game, Crewe U18 at 1.4.
- Arsenal U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Crewe U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Arsenal U18 Clean Sheet 16%
Crewe U18 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal U18 | Crewe U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 27, 2015 FA Youth Cup
Arsenal U18 vs Crewe U18
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal U18 84 / 100
Crewe U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal U18 Crewe U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arsenal U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Arsenal U18 scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Crewe U18 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Arsenal U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal U18 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal U18
(Home) 19 Sept
Norwich U18
1 : 5 Arsenal U18
12 Sept
Arsenal U18
2 : 0 Crystal Palace U18
05 Sept
Arsenal U18
1 : 0 Southampton U18
29 Aug
Brighton U18
2 : 1 Arsenal U18
22 Aug
Arsenal U18
1 : 3 Ipswich U18
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12 Sept
Arsenal U18
2 : 0 Crystal Palace U18
05 Sept
Arsenal U18
1 : 0 Southampton U18
22 Aug
Arsenal U18
1 : 3 Ipswich U18
09 May
Arsenal U18
1 : 2 Reading U18
28 Apr
Arsenal U18
2 : 3 Crystal Palace U18
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Crewe U18
(Away) 16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1 Crewe U18
14 Jan
Leicester U18
1 : 0 Crewe U18
15 Jan
Leicester U18
4 : 0 Crewe U18
02 Mar
Manchester City U18
6 : 1 Crewe U18
27 Jan
Arsenal U18
2 : 3 Crewe U18
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16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1 Crewe U18
14 Jan
Leicester U18
1 : 0 Crewe U18
15 Jan
Leicester U18
4 : 0 Crewe U18
02 Mar
Manchester City U18
6 : 1 Crewe U18
27 Jan
Arsenal U18
2 : 3 Crewe U18
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Manchester City U18 8
Coventry U18 2
Mansfield U18 0
Stoke City U18 3
Arsenal U18 2
Royston Town U18 1
Crewe U18 5
Bolton U18 0
Everton U18 1
Southampton U18 2
Leicester U18 1
Chesterfield U18 0
Liverpool U18 5
Derby U18 2
Blackpool U18 1
Birmingham U18 2
West Brom U18 0
Nottingham U18 3
Burnley U18 3
Cardiff U18 1
Tottenham U18 2
Wolves U18 0
Manchester United U18 3
Hull U18 0
Sunderland U18 3
Ipswich U18 1
Middlesbrough U18 2
Newcastle Utd U18 3
Chelsea U18 6
Huddersfield U18 1
Swansea U18 2
Doncaster U18 1
1/8-finals
Manchester City U18 1
Stoke City U18 0
Arsenal U18 2
Crewe U18 3
Southampton U18 0
Leicester U18 2
Liverpool U18 2
Birmingham U18 3
Nottingham U18 2
Burnley U18 0
Tottenham U18 3
Manchester United U18 1
Sunderland U18 0
Newcastle Utd U18 1
Chelsea U18 6
Swansea U18 0
Quarter-finals
Manchester City U18 6
Crewe U18 1
Leicester U18 2
Birmingham U18 1
Nottingham U18 1
Tottenham U18 2
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Chelsea U18 3
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 5
Leicester U18 1
Tottenham U18 4
Chelsea U18 5
Final
Manchester City U18 2
Chelsea U18 5
