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Arsenal U18 vs QPR U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2024/2025 Arsenal Training Centre, London Colney
Arsenal U18 Logo

Arsenal U18

Sat, Jan 18, 2025
4 - 3
05:00 PM
QPR U18 Logo

QPR U18

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Harriman-Annous A.
30' Event
Sutton E.
52' Event
Sutton E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arsenal U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Arsenal U18
15%
Draws
0%
QPR U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arsenal U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arsenal U18 lately — more wins on the board than QPR U18.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Arsenal U18 taking it.
  • Arsenal U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arsenal U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Arsenal U18 Clean Sheet 16%
QPR U18 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal U18 QPR U18
Matches Played 31 7
Wins 9 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.61 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.1 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 FA Youth Cup
Arsenal U18 vs QPR U18
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Harriman-Annous A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dowman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

QPR U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sutton E.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal U18 84 / 100
QPR U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal U18 QPR U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal U18's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: QPR U18 conceded in 100% of 7 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Away concern: QPR U18 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal U18 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Norwich U18
1 : 5
Arsenal U18
12 Sept
Arsenal U18
2 : 0
Crystal Palace U18
05 Sept
Arsenal U18
1 : 0
Southampton U18
29 Aug
Brighton U18
2 : 1
Arsenal U18
22 Aug
Arsenal U18
1 : 3
Ipswich U18
Page 1 of 7

QPR U18

(Away)
27 Jan
QPR U18
0 : 2
Brighton U18
18 Jan
Arsenal U18
4 : 3
QPR U18
22 Jan
QPR U18
0 : 2
Burnley U18
18 Jan
Luton U18
3 : 1
QPR U18
12 Jan
Bournemouth U18
2 : 0
QPR U18
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Newcastle Utd U18 0
Aston Villa U18 4
Cardiff U18 1
Bristol City U18 2
Everton U18 3
Wolves U18 1
Plymouth U18 3
Lincoln City U18 2
Exeter U18 1
Fulham U18 4
Arsenal U18 4
QPR U18 3
Manchester United U18 5
Preston U18 2
Chelsea U18 7
Merstham U18 1
Watford U18 4
Crewe U18 1
Grimsby U18 3
Tottenham U18 5
Fleetwood Town U18 0
Southampton U18 3
Sheffield Utd U18 1
Derby U18 3
Bournemouth U18 1
Norwich U18 3
Stoke City U18 0
West Brom U18 2
AFC Fylde U18 2
Leeds U18 3
Manchester City U18 5
Millwall U18 1
1/8-finals
Aston Villa U18 3
Bristol City U18 2
Everton U18 0
Plymouth U18 1
Fulham U18 1
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester United U18 5
Chelsea U18 1
Watford U18 4
Tottenham U18 2
Southampton U18 4
Derby U18 1
Norwich U18 2
West Brom U18 4
Leeds U18 1
Manchester City U18 6
Quarter-finals
Aston Villa U18 3
Plymouth U18 0
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester United U18 3
Watford U18 2
Southampton U18 1
West Brom U18 0
Manchester City U18 6
Semi-finals
Aston Villa U18 2
Manchester United U18 1
Watford U18 0
Manchester City U18 1
Final
Aston Villa U18 3
Manchester City U18 1