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Arsenal U19 vs Marseille U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Kisaku A.
39' Event
Olsson K.
(Penalty)
44'
Hayden I.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 game between Arsenal U19 and Marseille U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Arsenal U19
15%
Draws
46%
Marseille U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marseille U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsenal U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Arsenal U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Marseille U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal U19 Marseille U19
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2013 UEFA Youth League
Arsenal U19 vs Marseille U19
1:1
Sep 18, 2013 UEFA Youth League
Marseille U19 vs Arsenal U19
1:4
Oct 25, 2012 UEFA Youth League
Marseille U19 vs Arsenal U19
1:0
Aug 29, 2012 UEFA Youth League
Arsenal U19 vs Marseille U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79

Marseille U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kisaku A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal U19 34 / 100
Marseille U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal U19 Marseille U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marseille U19 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Arsenal U19 scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Arsenal U19 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal U19 VS Marseille U19
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal U19

(Home)
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
10 Dec
Club Brugge U19
2 : 1
Arsenal U19
26 Nov
Arsenal U19
4 : 2
Bayern U19
04 Nov
Slavia Prague U19
5 : 1
Arsenal U19
21 Oct
Arsenal U19
3 : 4
Atl. Madrid U19
Page 1 of 7

Marseille U19

(Away)
03 Feb
Real Madrid U19
5 : 2
Marseille U19
09 Dec
Royale Union SG U19
1 : 4
Marseille U19
25 Nov
Marseille U19
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U19
05 Nov
Marseille U19
0 : 0
Atalanta U19
22 Oct
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
Marseille U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Sociedad U19 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
2 Shakhtar U19 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
3 Leverkusen U19 6 2 1 3 11:14 7
4 Manchester United U19 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 16:8 11
2 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 4 0 11:9 10
3 Juventus U19 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
4 Galatasaray U19 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 15:5 14
2 PSG U19 6 1 4 1 5:7 7
3 Anderlecht U19 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
4 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 6 4 1 1 13:4 13
2 Manchester City U19 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
4 Plzen U19 6 0 0 6 2:22 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 6 0 0 18:1 18
2 Schalke U19 6 3 1 2 14:5 10
3 FCSB U19 6 1 2 3 5:15 5
4 Basel U19 6 0 1 5 4:20 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal U19 6 2 3 1 12:7 9
2 Napoli U19 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
3 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
4 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 10:14 7
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 17:14 13
2 Austria Vienna U19 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 FC Porto U19 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
4 Zenit St Petersburg U19 6 0 1 5 9:17 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona U19 6 5 1 0 20:5 16
2 AC Milan U19 5 2 2 1 10:11 8
3 Celtic U19 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
4 Ajax U19 5 1 0 4 6:16 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)