Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal U23 vs Leeds U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Emirates Stadium, London
Arsenal U23 Logo

Arsenal U23

1 - 1
FT
Leeds U23 Logo

Leeds U23

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Flores M.
46'
Sub
Lopez J. In: Sousa L.
Out: Lopez J.
56'
Hjelde L. F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Arsenal U23
35%
Draws
26%
Leeds U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arsenal U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Leeds U23 haven't matched Arsenal U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal U23's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Arsenal U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Leeds U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal U23 Leeds U23
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 14 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2022 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Leeds U23
1:1
Oct 29, 2021 Premier League 2
Leeds U23 vs Arsenal U23
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leeds U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer McGurk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal U23 57 / 100
Leeds U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal U23 Leeds U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal U23's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Leeds U23 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Arsenal U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal U23 VS Leeds U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal U23

(Home)
01 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 1
Arsenal U23
15 Jul
Hendon
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
05 Jul
Woking
3 : 2
Arsenal U23
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 7

Leeds U23

(Away)
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3
Manchester City U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0
Leeds U23
11 Apr
West Ham U23
5 : 1
Leeds U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0
Crystal Palace U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)