Sport Picks
Arsenal vs Bournemouth
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Emirates Stadium, London 
Match Events
17'
17'
Kroupi E. J.
35'
35'
Gyökeres V.
(Penalty)
54'
54'
Sub
Havertz K. In: Eze E.
Out: Havertz K.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Arsenal and Bournemouth finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bournemouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bournemouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arsenal come out ahead of Bournemouth on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Bournemouth taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Arsenal Clean Sheet 16%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 14 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Arsenal vs Bournemouth
1:2
Jan 3, 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Arsenal
2:3
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Arsenal vs Bournemouth
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Arsenal
2:0
Jul 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Arsenal vs Bournemouth
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arsenal Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Kroupi E. J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Scott A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal 28 / 100
Bournemouth 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal Bournemouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Bournemouth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Arsenal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal VS Bournemouth
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal
(Home) 30 May
PSG
2 : 1 Arsenal
24 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 2 Arsenal
18 May
Arsenal
1 : 0 Burnley
10 May
West Ham
0 : 1 Arsenal
05 May
Arsenal
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 6
18 May
Arsenal
1 : 0 Burnley
05 May
Arsenal
1 : 0 Atl. Madrid
02 May
Arsenal
3 : 0 Fulham
25 Apr
Arsenal
1 : 0 Newcastle Utd
15 Apr
Arsenal
0 : 0 Sporting CP
Page 1 of 3
Bournemouth
(Away) 30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5 Bournemouth
24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1 St. Pauli
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6
30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5 Bournemouth
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1 Bournemouth
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
18 Apr
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Bournemouth
11 Apr
Arsenal
1 : 2 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
