Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal vs Everton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Emirates Stadium, London
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal host Everton in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Everton have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Arsenal have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.65. Past meetings favor Arsenal slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Arsenal. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arsenal
30%
Draws
30%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arsenal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Arsenal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arsenal Clean Sheet 20%
Everton Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal Everton
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 21 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.65 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Arsenal vs Everton
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Everton vs Arsenal
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Everton vs Arsenal
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Arsenal vs Everton
0:0
May 19, 2024 Premier League
Arsenal vs Everton
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal 42 / 100
Everton 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal Everton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Everton has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Arsenal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal VS Everton
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal

(Home)
10 Oct
Arsenal
2 : 1
Leeds
19 Sept
Brighton
3 : 0
Arsenal
15 Sept
Ipswich
2 : 4
Arsenal
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
Page 1 of 7

Everton

(Away)
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Wolves
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0
Everton
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2
Manchester United
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1
Everton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 13:5 15
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
3 Brighton 6 4 1 1 18:5 13
4 Brentford 6 2 4 0 12:6 10
5 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 15:13 10
6 Leeds 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
7 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
8 Everton 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
9 Ipswich 6 3 0 3 9:12 9
10 Hull City 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
11 Newcastle Utd 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
12 Manchester United 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
13 Nottingham 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Aston Villa 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
16 Sunderland 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Bournemouth 6 0 3 3 7:13 3
18 Tottenham 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
19 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1:10 3
20 Fulham 6 0 2 4 6:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)