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Arsenal W vs Manchester United W

England England

Women's League Cup Emirates Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Smith O.
13'
Park J.
45' Event
Terland E.
Assist: Wangerheim E.

AI Match Summary

The Women's League Cup game between Arsenal W and Manchester United W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manchester United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Arsenal W
6%
Draws
4%
Manchester United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arsenal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Manchester United W haven't matched Arsenal W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arsenal W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Women's League Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Arsenal W Clean Sheet 20%
Manchester United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal W Manchester United W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 23 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Women's League Cup
Arsenal W vs Manchester United W
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 WSL
Arsenal W vs Manchester United W
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 WSL
Manchester United W vs Arsenal W
0:0
May 10, 2025 WSL
Arsenal W vs Manchester United W
4:3
Nov 3, 2024 WSL
Manchester United W vs Arsenal W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsenal W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Manchester United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Terland E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal W 85 / 100
Manchester United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal W Manchester United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arsenal W scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Manchester United W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Arsenal W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal W VS Manchester United W
2.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
West Ham W1
Manchester City W5
Liverpool W1
Chelsea W9
Crystal Palace W0
Arsenal W2
Manchester United W2
Tottenham W1
Semi-finals
Manchester City W0
Chelsea W1
Arsenal W0
Manchester United W1
Final
Chelsea W2
Manchester United W0