Sport Picks
Arsenal W vs Manchester United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
WSL Emirates Stadium, London 
Match Events
43'
43'
Baum L.
53'
53'
Sub
Awujo S. In: Bernal R.
Out: Awujo S.
58'
58'
Sub
Smith O. In: Holmberg S.
Out: Smith O.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this WSL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manchester United W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
19%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arsenal W lately — more wins on the board than Manchester United W.
- Win probability leans Arsenal W's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular WSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Arsenal W Clean Sheet 68%
Manchester United W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsenal W | Manchester United W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 33 |
| Wins | 23 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.74 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 WSL
Arsenal W vs Manchester United W
1:1
Jan 21, 2026 Women's League Cup
Arsenal W vs Manchester United W
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 WSL
Arsenal W vs Manchester United W
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 WSL
Manchester United W vs Arsenal W
0:0
May 10, 2025 WSL
Arsenal W vs Manchester United W
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arsenal W Compare
Top Goalscorer Holmberg S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Manchester United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Zigiotti Olme J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsenal W 95 / 100
Manchester United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsenal W Manchester United W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arsenal W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal W scored in 80% of their last 35 games.
Manchester United W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Arsenal W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arsenal W VS Manchester United W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsenal W
(Home) 04 Oct
Manchester City W
4 : 2 Arsenal W
30 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 2 Arsenal W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0 Arsenal W
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0 Koge W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1 Manchester United W
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0 Koge W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1 Manchester United W
13 Sept
Arsenal W
0 : 0 Crystal Palace W
26 Aug
Arsenal W
5 : 1 Charlton W
23 Aug
Arsenal W
1 : 0 Paris FC W
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Manchester United W
(Away) 03 Oct
Manchester United W
1 : 0 Liverpool W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5 Manchester United W
27 Sept
Manchester United W
2 : 1 West Ham W
23 Sept
Manchester United W
10 : 1 Sheffield Utd W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1 Manchester United W
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30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5 Manchester United W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1 Manchester United W
04 Sept
London City Lionesses W
2 : 1 Manchester United W
16 May
Chelsea W
1 : 0 Manchester United W
26 Apr
Tottenham W
0 : 0 Manchester United W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Chelsea W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:1 | 13 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 12 |
| 4 | Tottenham W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Everton W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Manchester United W | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 5 |
| 10 | Arsenal W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 11 | West Ham W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 12 | Aston Villa W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 13 | Birmingham W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
| 14 | Charlton W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:15 | 0 |
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)
