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Arsenal W vs SL Benfica W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Champions League Women Meadow Park, Borehamwood
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsenal W host SL Benfica W in the UEFA Champions League Women. This one's hard to separate. SL Benfica W have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Arsenal W have conceded 0.83 and scored 2.34. Head-to-head, Arsenal W have won 1 to SL Benfica W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 16, 2025, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.44) back Arsenal W to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Arsenal W
20%
Draws
56%
SL Benfica W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SL Benfica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SL Benfica W lately — more wins on the board than Arsenal W.
  • SL Benfica W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Champions League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Arsenal W Clean Sheet 16%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal W SL Benfica W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 22
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.34 2.45
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2025 UEFA Champions League Women
SL Benfica W vs Arsenal W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal W 10 / 100
SL Benfica W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal W SL Benfica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SL Benfica W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arsenal W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Arsenal W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

SL Benfica W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal W VS SL Benfica W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal W

(Home)
04 Oct
Manchester City W
4 : 2
Arsenal W
30 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 2
Arsenal W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Koge W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1
Manchester United W
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SL Benfica W

(Away)
04 Oct
Braga W
0 : 6
SL Benfica W
30 Sept
SL Benfica W
0 : 3
Bayern Munich W
22 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 2
SL Benfica W
18 Sept
Rio Ave W
0 : 2
SL Benfica W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona W 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 OL Lyonnes W 2 1 1 0 8:0 4
3 PSG W 2 1 1 0 6:1 4
4 Bayern Munich W 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
5 Arsenal W 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Inter W 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Chelsea W 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Koge W 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
9 Juventus W 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
10 SL Benfica W 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
11 Manchester City W 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Real Madrid W 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
13 Austria Vienna W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Paris FC W 2 0 1 1 4:7 1
15 Leuven W 2 0 1 1 0:5 1
16 AS Roma W 2 0 1 1 0:6 1
17 Hacken W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
18 Servette W 2 0 0 2 1:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/4-finals)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)