Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsimi vs Bashkimi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Arsimi Logo

Arsimi

1 - 1
FT
Bashkimi Logo

Bashkimi

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ramadani A.
25'
Sub
Avduli X. In: Mustafa S.
Out: Avduli X.
46'
Sub
Mislimi M. In: Murati R.
Out: Mislimi M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Arsimi
20%
Draws
20%
Bashkimi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arsimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Arsimi at 1.25 per game, Bashkimi at 0.88.
  • Arsimi are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 20%
Bashkimi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsimi Bashkimi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Bashkimi
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Bashkimi
4:2
Aug 9, 2025 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Arsimi
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 2. MFL
Bashkimi vs Arsimi
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 2. MFL
Arsimi vs Bashkimi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramadani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bashkimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Orr N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsimi 49 / 100
Bashkimi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsimi Bashkimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsimi scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Bashkimi let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Bashkimi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsimi VS Bashkimi
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsimi

(Home)
01 Aug
Arsimi
4 : 1
Teteks
24 Jul
Tikves
5 : 1
Arsimi
19 Jul
FK Skopje
2 : 1
Arsimi
16 Jul
Kamjani
2 : 4
Arsimi
08 Jul
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
Page 1 of 6

Bashkimi

(Away)
26 Jul
Sileks
6 : 0
Bashkimi
24 May
Pelister
1 : 0
Bashkimi
16 May
Bashkimi
3 : 3
Makedonija GP
10 May
Arsimi
1 : 1
Bashkimi
02 May
Bashkimi
0 : 2
Vardar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)