Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Ramadani A.
25'
25'
Sub
Avduli X. In: Mustafa S.
Out: Avduli X.
46'
46'
Sub
Mislimi M. In: Murati R.
Out: Mislimi M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this 1. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bashkimi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Bashkimi haven't matched Arsimi's recent run of results.
- Arsimi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 15%
Bashkimi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arsimi | Bashkimi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Bashkimi
1:0
May 10, 2026 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Bashkimi
1:1
Nov 3, 2025 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Bashkimi
4:2
Aug 9, 2025 1. MFL
Bashkimi vs Arsimi
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 2. MFL
Bashkimi vs Arsimi
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arsimi Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramadani A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Bashkimi Compare
Top Goalscorer Orr N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arsimi 84 / 100
Bashkimi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arsimi Bashkimi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arsimi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bashkimi let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Arsimi scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Arsimi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arsimi VS Bashkimi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Arsimi
(Home) 24 Sept
Mogila
0 : 12 Arsimi
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0 Arsimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2 Shkendija Tetovo
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0 Arsimi
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0 FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2 Shkendija Tetovo
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0 FK Skopje
14 Aug
Arsimi
1 : 0 Bashkimi
01 Aug
Arsimi
4 : 1 Teteks
23 May
Arsimi
1 : 0 Struga
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Bashkimi
(Away) 18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1 Bashkimi
12 Sept
Bashkimi
3 : 3 Vardar
09 Sept
BVK Konjare
0 : 5 Bashkimi
05 Sept
FK Skopje
1 : 2 Bashkimi
30 Aug
Bashkimi
1 : 2 Shkendija Haracine
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1 Bashkimi
09 Sept
BVK Konjare
0 : 5 Bashkimi
05 Sept
FK Skopje
1 : 2 Bashkimi
21 Aug
Bregalnica Stip
3 : 0 Bashkimi
14 Aug
Arsimi
1 : 0 Bashkimi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vardar | 33 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 80:21 | 83 |
| 2 | Shkendija Tetovo | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 67:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Struga | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 68:28 | 62 |
| 4 | Sileks | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 59:36 | 53 |
| 5 | Tikves | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 59:47 | 48 |
| 6 | Arsimi | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 50:53 | 46 |
| 7 | Bashkimi | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 40:54 | 42 |
| 8 | Pelister | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 41:42 | 40 |
| 9 | Brera Strumica | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46:56 | 40 |
| 10 | Makedonija GP | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 42:57 | 34 |
| 11 | Rabotnicki | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 45:58 | 33 |
| 12 | Shkupi | 33 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 15:130 | 1 |
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)
