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Arsimi vs Ovce Pole Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Nachev D.
53' Event
Elmazi V.
59' Event
Xhemaili H.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2022 game between Arsimi and Ovce Pole finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsimi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arsimi
25%
Draws
35%
Ovce Pole
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Arsimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Arsimi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Arsimi taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 19%
Ovce Pole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsimi Ovce Pole
Matches Played 31 2
Wins 13 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.58 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.58 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2022 Club Friendly
Arsimi vs Ovce Pole
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Xhemaili H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Elmazi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Ovce Pole Compare

Top Goalscorer Nachev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsimi 85 / 100
Ovce Pole 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsimi Ovce Pole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsimi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ovce Pole's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 2 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Arsimi scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Arsimi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsimi VS Ovce Pole
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsimi

(Home)
24 Sept
Mogila
0 : 12
Arsimi
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 7

Ovce Pole

(Away)
03 Sept
Ovce Pole
0 : 5
Vardar
22 Jun
Arsimi
4 : 1
Ovce Pole