Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsimi vs Shkendija Tetovo

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Goni M.
18' Event
Ibraimi B.
22'
Manev J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. MFL matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arsimi
30%
Draws
47%
Shkendija Tetovo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shkendija Tetovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Shkendija Tetovo have won more games recently than Arsimi.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular 1. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 10%
Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsimi Shkendija Tetovo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Shkendija Tetovo
2:2
Mar 15, 2026 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Arsimi
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Shkendija Tetovo
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 1. MFL
Shkendija Tetovo vs Arsimi
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Shkendija Tetovo vs Arsimi
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibraimi B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meljichi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsimi 34 / 100
Shkendija Tetovo 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsimi Shkendija Tetovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shkendija Tetovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsimi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Shkendija Tetovo conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Arsimi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arsimi VS Shkendija Tetovo
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsimi

(Home)
24 Sept
Mogila
0 : 12
Arsimi
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0
FK Skopje
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Shkendija Tetovo

(Away)
18 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
4 : 1
Bashkimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
04 Sept
Shkendija Tetovo
1 : 3
Tikves
28 Aug
Sileks
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
24 Aug
Shkendija Tetovo
2 : 1
Struga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)