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Arsimi vs Sileks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsimi host Sileks in the 1. MFL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Arsimi have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Sileks's 1.37 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Arsimi slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.69, favoring Arsimi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Arsimi
35%
Draws
19%
Sileks
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arsimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsimi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arsimi a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 13%
Sileks Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsimi Sileks
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 1. MFL
Sileks vs Arsimi
0:1
Nov 28, 2025 1. MFL
Sileks vs Arsimi
1:3
Oct 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Arsimi vs Sileks
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Sileks
0:1
Jan 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Sileks vs Arsimi
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsimi 84 / 100
Sileks 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsimi Sileks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsimi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsimi scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Arsimi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Sileks has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arsimi VS Sileks
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsimi

(Home)
24 Sept
Mogila
0 : 12
Arsimi
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

Sileks

(Away)
18 Sept
Sileks
0 : 0
Tikves
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
07 Sept
Struga
1 : 0
Sileks
28 Aug
Sileks
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
24 Aug
Vardar
4 : 1
Sileks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)