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Artesanos Metepec vs Halcones Negros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Rodriguez Mercado C. E.
19' Event
77' Event
Gutierrez D. M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Artesanos Metepec and Halcones Negros finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Artesanos Metepec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Artesanos Metepec
15%
Draws
32%
Halcones Negros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Artesanos Metepec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Artesanos Metepec come out ahead of Halcones Negros on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Artesanos Metepec Clean Sheet 12%
Halcones Negros Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artesanos Metepec Halcones Negros
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 21 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 2 2.83
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Artesanos Metepec vs Halcones Negros
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Artesanos Metepec Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Mercado C. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Halcones Negros Compare

Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artesanos Metepec 30 / 100
Halcones Negros 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artesanos Metepec Halcones Negros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Artesanos Metepec scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Artesanos Metepec has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Halcones Negros conceded in 33% of 6 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Artesanos Metepec VS Halcones Negros
1.63 Goals Scored 2.43
1 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Artesanos Metepec

(Home)
03 Oct
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Canoneros FC
27 Sept
Acambaro
2 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
19 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

Halcones Negros

(Away)
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
27 Sept
Halcones Negros
7 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
19 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
13 Sept
Halcones Negros
3 : 0
Guerreros del Pacifico
06 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 6 4 0 2 15:8 13
2 Zapotlanejo 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Vaqueros 6 4 1 1 11:8 13
4 Mineros de Fresnillo 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
5 Correcaminos 2 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
6 Guerreros de Autlan 6 2 1 3 10:12 8
7 Saltillo Soccer F.C. 6 3 0 3 9:15 8
8 FC Santiago 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
9 Apodaca 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
10 Heroes de Zaci 6 0 1 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 6 6 0 0 16:4 19
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 6 4 1 1 14:7 15
3 Halcones Negros 6 3 1 2 17:4 11
4 Acambaro 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
5 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
6 Guerreros del Pacifico 5 2 1 2 4:4 8
7 Calor De San Pedro 5 2 1 2 7:12 8
8 Real Refineros 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
9 Ciervos 6 1 0 5 3:19 2
10 Canoneros FC 6 0 0 6 1:19 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)