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Artsul vs Perolas Negras

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Abner
24' Event
Badio S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Perolas Negras advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Artsul
30%
Draws
41%
Perolas Negras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perolas Negras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Perolas Negras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Perolas Negras arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Perolas Negras, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Artsul here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Artsul Clean Sheet 68%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artsul Perolas Negras
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Perolas Negras
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Carioca B1
Perolas Negras vs Artsul
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Carioca B1
Perolas Negras vs Artsul
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Artsul Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Abner
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badio S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artsul 41 / 100
Perolas Negras 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artsul Perolas Negras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ART Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Artsul's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Perolas Negras conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Artsul went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Artsul VS Perolas Negras
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Artsul

(Home)
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Artsul
1 : 2
Serrano FC
25 Oct
Artsul
3 : 1
AA Carapebus
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
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Perolas Negras

(Away)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Artsul 2
Perolas Negras 3
Paduano EC 1
Sao Goncalo 2
Final
Perolas Negras 2
Sao Goncalo 3