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Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Lautaro

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Munoz L.
82' Event
Bravo D.

AI Match Summary

Arturo Fernandez Vial host Lautaro in the Segunda Division 2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Arturo Fernandez Vial at 0.5 goals for, 1.38 against; Lautaro at 1.25 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Arturo Fernandez Vial have won 3 to Lautaro's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2024, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.31, favoring Lautaro. Lautaro in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Arturo Fernandez Vial
28%
Draws
22%
Lautaro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Arturo Fernandez Vial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Lautaro has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Arturo Fernandez Vial.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Arturo Fernandez Vial.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda Division 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Arturo Fernandez Vial Clean Sheet 68%
Lautaro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arturo Fernandez Vial Lautaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Segunda Division
Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Lautaro
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 Segunda Division
Lautaro vs Arturo Fernandez Vial
4:3
Sep 2, 2023 Segunda Division
Lautaro vs Arturo Fernandez Vial
0:2
May 3, 2023 Segunda Division
Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Lautaro
2:2
Dec 2, 2020 Segunda Division
Arturo Fernandez Vial vs Lautaro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arturo Fernandez Vial Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bravo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Lautaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arturo Fernandez Vial 59 / 100
Lautaro 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arturo Fernandez Vial Lautaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ART Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arturo Fernandez Vial scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Lautaro let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Arturo Fernandez Vial went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lautaro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arturo Fernandez Vial VS Lautaro
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Concepcion26176353:2357
2Melipilla26176359:2554
3D. Puerto Montt26126831:2642
4Deportes Rengo26116933:2839
5San Antonio Unido26116931:4139
6General Velasquez26107940:3337
7Osorno2699842:4336
8Provincial Ovalle26961128:3133
9Concon National26951233:3632
10Linares Unido26861231:3230
11Trasandino26931423:3730
12Real San Joaquin26691127:4027
13Lautaro26831529:5227
14Arturo Fernandez Vial26381522:358