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Stadium Background

Aruba U20 vs Canada U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Graham-Roache O.
90' Event
Judelson D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 game between Aruba U20 and Canada U20 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canada U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aruba U20
35%
Draws
32%
Canada U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aruba U20 haven't matched Canada U20's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Aruba U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Canada U20 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aruba U20 Canada U20
Matches Played 21 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.9 2.43
Goals Conceded 2.81 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 CONCACAF Championship U20
Aruba U20 vs Canada U20
0:2
Jun 25, 2020 CONCACAF Championship U20
Canada U20 vs Aruba U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aruba U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Canada U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Graham-Roache O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba U20 30 / 100
Canada U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aruba U20 Canada U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aruba U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aruba U20's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Defensive concern: Canada U20 conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aruba U20 VS Canada U20
1 Goals Scored 3.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aruba U20

(Home)
04 Mar
Martinique U20
0 : 0
Aruba U20
03 Mar
Aruba U20
0 : 2
Canada U20
28 Feb
Aruba U20
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands U20
25 Feb
Nicaragua U20
0 : 2
Aruba U20
02 Mar
Aruba U20
1 : 1
Barbados U20
Page 1 of 5

Canada U20

(Away)
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
05 Aug
Canada U20
3 : 1
Jamaica U20
01 Aug
Canada U20
2 : 2
Jamaica U20
30 Jul
Canada U20
1 : 1
Honduras U20
26 Jul
Panama U20
0 : 3
Canada U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador U20 5 4 0 1 16:3 12
2 Suriname U20 5 4 0 1 16:4 12
3 Belize U20 5 3 0 2 10:17 9
4 Saint Martin U20 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
5 French Guiana U20 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
6 Grenada U20 5 1 0 4 3:12 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica U20 5 5 0 0 28:0 15
2 Puerto Rico U20 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
3 Bonaire U20 5 2 1 2 6:11 7
4 Turks and Caicos Islands U20 5 2 0 3 4:14 6
5 Saint Kitts and Nevis U20 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
6 Cayman Islands U20 5 0 0 5 3:19 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua and Barbuda U20 4 4 0 0 5:0 12
2 Dominican Republic U20 4 3 0 1 11:1 9
3 British Virgin Islands U20 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
4 Saint Lucia U20 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
5 Dominica U20 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti U20 4 4 0 0 16:1 12
2 Curacao U20 4 3 0 1 13:4 9
3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 4 2 0 2 9:10 6
4 Guyana U20 4 1 0 3 7:9 3
5 Anguilla U20 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica U20 4 3 1 0 21:3 10
2 Bermuda U20 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
3 Trinidad & Tobago U20 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
4 Barbados U20 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
5 Sint Maarten U20 4 0 1 3 1:19 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U20 4 3 0 1 24:1 9
2 Nicaragua U20 4 3 0 1 12:5 9
3 Aruba U20 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Martinique U20 4 1 1 2 7:14 4
5 United States Virgin Islands U20 4 0 0 4 4:29 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)