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Aruba vs Guam

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Friendly International 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2014 game between Aruba and Guam finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Aruba
15%
Draws
32%
Guam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Guam haven't matched Aruba's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Aruba taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aruba Clean Sheet 10%
Guam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aruba Guam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.52 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2014 Friendly International
Aruba vs Guam
2:0
Mar 28, 2014 Friendly International
Aruba vs Guam
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba 47 / 100
Guam 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aruba Guam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guam conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Aruba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Guam has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aruba VS Guam
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aruba

(Home)
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0
Aruba
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Guam

(Away)
06 Jun
Myanmar
6 : 1
Guam
03 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Guam
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
26 Mar
Puerto Rico
4 : 0
Guam
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
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