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Aruba vs Liechtenstein

World World

FIFA Series Kigali Pele Stadium, Kigali
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sele A.
18' Event
Romano J.
Assist: Robertha G.
20'
Meier L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Aruba
15%
Draws
20%
Liechtenstein
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Aruba have won more games recently than Liechtenstein.
  • Win probability leans Aruba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Aruba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aruba, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Aruba Clean Sheet 68%
Liechtenstein Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aruba Liechtenstein
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 2
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.52 0.29
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 FIFA Series
Aruba vs Liechtenstein
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aruba Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robertha G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.4

Liechtenstein Compare

Top Goalscorer Zund E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba 95 / 100
Liechtenstein 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aruba Liechtenstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liechtenstein let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aruba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Liechtenstein lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aruba VS Liechtenstein
1.57 Goals Scored 0.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 4
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aruba

(Home)
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0
Aruba
Page 1 of 6

Liechtenstein

(Away)
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
04 Jun
Andorra
2 : 0
Liechtenstein
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Tanzania
0 : 1
Liechtenstein
18 Nov
Belgium
7 : 0
Liechtenstein
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Azerbaijan 6
Saint Lucia 1
Oman -
Sierra Leone -
Indonesia 4
Saint Kitts and Nevis 0
Solomon Islands 2
Bulgaria 10
Kazakhstan -
Comoros -
Kuwait -
Namibia -
United States Virgin Islands 5
American Samoa 2
Puerto Rico 4
Guam 0
Rwanda 4
Grenada 0
Kenya 1
Estonia 2
Aruba 4
Macau 1
Tanzania 0
Liechtenstein 1
Final
Azerbaijan 2
Sierra Leone 1
Indonesia 0
Bulgaria 1
TBD -
TBD -
United States Virgin Islands 0
Puerto Rico 2
Rwanda 2
Estonia 0
Aruba 4
Liechtenstein 1