Sport Picks

North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Mayagüez Athletics Stadium

Aruba

0 - 1

Puerto Rico

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Sulia R.

34'

Bennett W.

37'

Lentink M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Puerto Rico in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puerto Rico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Aruba

28%

Draws

22%

Puerto Rico

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Puerto Rico lately — more wins on the board than Aruba.
Win probability leans Aruba's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Aruba Clean Sheet 18%

Puerto Rico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aruba	Puerto Rico
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	14
Draws	4	5
Losses	16	11
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

Puerto Rico vs Aruba

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 3 - 0

5:1

Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

Aruba vs Puerto Rico

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Mar 18, 2000 World Championship

Puerto Rico vs Aruba

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Mar 10, 2000 World Championship

Aruba vs Puerto Rico

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aruba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Puerto Rico Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonetti L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba 49 / 100

Puerto Rico 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aruba Puerto Rico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Puerto Rico conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Aruba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Aruba's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aruba VS Puerto Rico

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	El Salvador	6	5	0	1	12:6	15
2	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	6	4	1	1	12:7	13
3	Bonaire	6	1	1	4	4:8	4
4	Montserrat	6	1	0	5	3:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Curacao	6	4	1	1	15:3	13
2	Saint Lucia	6	3	0	3	7:15	9
3	Grenada	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Saint Martin	6	2	0	4	8:13	6

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Haiti	6	6	0	29:5	18
2	Puerto Rico	6	3	3	11:12	9
3	Sint Maarten	6	3	3	7:18	9
4	Aruba	6	0	6	5:17	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dominican Republic	6	6	0	0	27:4	18
2	Bermuda	6	4	0	2	15:13	12
3	Dominica	6	1	1	4	6:18	4
4	Antigua and Barbuda	6	0	1	5	2:15	1