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Aruba W vs Belize W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Bowden M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aruba W
15%
Draws
34%
Belize W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aruba W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aruba W average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of Belize W's 1.32.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Aruba W taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Belize W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Belize W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Aruba W Clean Sheet 20%
Belize W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aruba W Belize W
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 10 10
Draws 2 1
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Aruba W vs Belize W
0:1
Sep 21, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Belize W vs Aruba W
2:0
Apr 6, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women
Belize W vs Aruba W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aruba W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Belize W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowden M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba W 85 / 100
Belize W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aruba W Belize W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aruba W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Belize W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 25 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Aruba W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aruba W VS Belize W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aruba W

(Home)
14 Apr
Curacao W
1 : 6
Aruba W
10 Apr
Panama W
3 : 1
Aruba W
08 Mar
Aruba W
0 : 1
Cuba W
29 Nov
Aruba W
2 : 1
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
01 Jun
Suriname W
1 : 7
Aruba W
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Belize W

(Away)
07 Jun
Bermuda W
1 : 0
Belize W
04 Jun
Bermuda W
4 : 0
Belize W
17 Apr
Suriname W
0 : 2
Belize W
14 Apr
Belize W
2 : 0
Anguilla W
28 Feb
Dominican Republic W
6 : 1
Belize W
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