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ARUC U20 vs Capital DF U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Capital DF U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
ARUC U20
20%
Draws
73%
Capital DF U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capital DF U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Capital DF U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Capital DF U20 taking it.
  • Capital DF U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Capital DF U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Capital DF U20 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
ARUC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Capital DF U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ARUC U20 Capital DF U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 23
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 5
Goals Scored 1 3.53
Goals Conceded 3.43 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Brasiliense U20
ARUC U20 vs Capital DF U20
0:13
Jul 22, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs ARUC U20
6:0
Jul 15, 2023 Brasiliense U20
ARUC U20 vs Capital DF U20
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ARUC U20 10 / 100
Capital DF U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ARUC U20 Capital DF U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital DF U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.33 goals as a typical output.

ARUC U20 found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Capital DF U20 let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: ARUC U20 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ARUC U20 VS Capital DF U20
0.38 Goals Scored 5.75
6 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

ARUC U20

(Home)
25 Jul
Candango U20
10 : 0
ARUC U20
19 Jul
ARUC U20
0 : 13
Capital DF U20
12 Jul
Brasiliense U20
6 : 0
ARUC U20
05 Jul
ARUC U20
2 : 2
Samambaia U20
27 Jun
Sobradinho U20
8 : 0
ARUC U20
Page 1 of 6

Capital DF U20

(Away)
23 Aug
Capital DF U20
1 : 0
Sobradinho U20
15 Aug
Sobradinho U20
1 : 0
Capital DF U20
08 Aug
Capital DF U20
5 : 0
Planaltina U20
02 Aug
Planaltina U20
1 : 1
Capital DF U20
25 Jul
Capital DF U20
7 : 2
Gama U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Capital DF U20 9
ARUC U20 0
Canaa U20 2
Santa Maria U20 0
Brasiliense U20 4
Brazlandia U20 2
Gama U20 3
Luziania U20 1
Semi-finals
Capital DF U20 2
Canaa U20 1
Brasiliense U20 1
Gama U20 2
Final
Capital DF U20 0
Gama U20 1