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ARUC U20 vs Capital DF U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ARUC U20 host Capital DF U20 in the Brasiliense U20. Capital DF U20 go into this one as the clear favorite. ARUC U20 have averaged 0.38 scored and 4.63 conceded recently, against Capital DF U20's 3.88 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, ARUC U20 have won 0 to Capital DF U20's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2023, ending 6:0. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 4.00) point toward Capital DF U20. Capital DF U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
ARUC U20
6%
Draws
90%
Capital DF U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Capital DF U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capital DF U20 lately — more wins on the board than ARUC U20.
  • Model gives Capital DF U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
ARUC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Capital DF U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ARUC U20 Capital DF U20
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 30
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 5
Goals Scored 0.38 3.88
Goals Conceded 4.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Capital DF U20 vs ARUC U20
6:0
Jul 15, 2023 Brasiliense U20
ARUC U20 vs Capital DF U20
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ARUC U20 10 / 100
Capital DF U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ARUC U20 Capital DF U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: ARUC U20 scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Capital DF U20 conceded in 50% of 38 recent games.

Recent resilience: ARUC U20 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ARUC U20 VS Capital DF U20
0.38 Goals Scored 3.88
4.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasiliense U20871036:222
2Capital DF U20861134:919
3Legiao U20861116:719
4Sobradinho U20851229:516
5Samambaia U20843116:615
6Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20830512:219
7Gama U20822419:168
8Brazlandia U20821512:187
9Candango U2092167:307
10Samambaense U2092075:386
11ARUC U2080173:371
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canaa U20880041:524
2Real Brasilia U20870135:521
3Planaltina U20861123:719
4Santa Maria U20841318:1613
5Brasilia U20933319:1712
6Gremio Valparaiso U20840416:1812
7Ceilandia U20821518:337
8Paranoa U20921611:287
9Ceilandense U2081345:166
10Cruzeiro DF U2081259:235
11Luziania U2080265:322