Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ARUC U20 vs Samambaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ARUC U20 play Samambaia U20 in the Brasiliense U20. Samambaia U20 are favorites here. Recently, ARUC U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 2.76 conceded. Samambaia U20 averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, ARUC U20 won 0, Samambaia U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for ARUC U20 and 2.50 for Samambaia U20. This points to a Samambaia U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
ARUC U20
21%
Draws
60%
Samambaia U20
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Samambaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • ARUC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Samambaia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
ARUC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Samambaia U20 Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ARUC U20 Samambaia U20
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 15
Draws 1 8
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Brasiliense U20
ARUC U20 vs Samambaia U20
2:2
Jun 21, 2025 Brasiliense U20
ARUC U20 vs Samambaia U20
0:5
Jun 10, 2023 Brasiliense U20
ARUC U20 vs Samambaia U20
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ARUC U20 19 / 100
Samambaia U20 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ARUC U20 Samambaia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samambaia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Samambaia U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ARUC U20 attacking → ← attacking Samambaia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ARUC U20 scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Samambaia U20 let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

ARUC U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Samambaia U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 53
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
4.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brasiliense U20761030:219
2Legiao U20760115:618
3Capital DF U20751126:716
4Sobradinho U20750228:415
5Samambaia U2063218:411
6Candango U2082157:247
7Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20720511:216
8Samambaense U2072055:316
9Gama U20612315:155
10Brazlandia U2061147:104
11ARUC U2060061:290
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canaa U20770034:521
2Planaltina U20761023:519
3Real Brasilia U20760133:518
4Santa Maria U20731315:1510
5Brasilia U20823315:179
6Gremio Valparaiso U20730413:169
7Paranoa U20821511:217
8Ceilandia U20821518:337
9Ceilandense U2071334:136
10Cruzeiro DF U2071247:205
11Luziania U2070255:282