Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ARUC vs Capital

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Rorizao, Samambaia
ARUC Logo

ARUC

0 - 3
FT
Capital Logo

Capital

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Matheuzinho
57' Event
Matheuzinho
90' Event
Arango J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense game between ARUC and Capital finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
ARUC
20%
Draws
80%
Capital
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Capital carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Capital's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
ARUC Clean Sheet 24%
Capital Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ARUC Capital
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 2 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.94 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Brasiliense
ARUC vs Capital
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ARUC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Capital Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheuzinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arango J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ARUC 10 / 100
Capital 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ARUC Capital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

ARUC's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Difficult form: Capital registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Capital
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ARUC

(Home)
28 Feb
ARUC
1 : 4
Real Brasilia
21 Feb
Gama
2 : 0
ARUC
12 Feb
ARUC
0 : 3
Samambaia
08 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
ARUC
31 Jan
ARUC
0 : 1
Brasilia FC (DF)
Page 1 of 4

Capital

(Away)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 7 2 0 15:4 23
2 Samambaia 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
3 Sobradinho 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Ceilandia 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Capital 9 4 3 2 19:10 15
6 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
7 Real Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 Paranoa 9 2 0 7 8:24 6
9 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 1 0 8 4:19 3
10 ARUC 9 1 0 8 3:20 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)