Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arucas vs CD Buzanada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Salgado S.
60' Event
Garcia J.
(Penalty)
76' Event
Arreaga Z.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Arucas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arucas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Arucas
30%
Draws
31%
CD Buzanada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arucas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Arucas have won more games recently than CD Buzanada.
  • Model gives Arucas a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Arucas Clean Sheet 16%
CD Buzanada Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arucas CD Buzanada
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.29 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs CD Buzanada
5:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Arucas
1:5
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Arucas
2:2
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs CD Buzanada
2:0
Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Arucas
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Salgado S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frieh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

CD Buzanada Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arucas 48 / 100
CD Buzanada 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arucas CD Buzanada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arucas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Buzanada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Arucas scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Solid form: Arucas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arucas VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arucas

(Home)
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
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CD Buzanada

(Away)
10 May
Arucas
5 : 1
CD Buzanada
04 May
CD Buzanada
0 : 3
UD San Fernando
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0
CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1
Estrella
12 Apr
San Miguel
1 : 3
CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)