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Stadium Background

Arucas vs Tamaraceite

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Frieh A.
45' Event
Baez J.
70' Event
Sanchez S.

AI Match Summary

Tamaraceite in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tamaraceite.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Arucas
20%
Draws
44%
Tamaraceite
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tamaraceite

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamaraceite lately — more wins on the board than Arucas.
  • Win probability leans Tamaraceite's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Arucas Clean Sheet 13%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arucas Tamaraceite
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Tamaraceite
1:3
Oct 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Arucas
0:0
Feb 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Arucas
1:0
Oct 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Tamaraceite
0:0
Feb 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Arucas
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Frieh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.33

Tamaraceite Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arucas 22 / 100
Tamaraceite 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arucas Tamaraceite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamaraceite Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arucas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tamaraceite has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Arucas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arucas VS Tamaraceite
0.67 Goals Scored 2.13
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arucas

(Home)
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
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Tamaraceite

(Away)
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1
Sevilla B
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
04 Aug
Tenerife
3 : 2
Tamaraceite
21 Jun
Tamaraceite
2 : 0
Guijuelo
14 Jun
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Tamaraceite
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)