Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arucas vs Villa Santa Brigida

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Aparisi K.
60' Event
Frieh A.
88' Event
Van Wesemael J.

AI Match Summary

Villa Santa Brigida in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Santa Brigida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Arucas
39%
Draws
30%
Villa Santa Brigida
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Arucas haven't matched Villa Santa Brigida's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Arucas Clean Sheet 17%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arucas Villa Santa Brigida
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Villa Santa Brigida
1:2
Nov 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Arucas
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Villa Santa Brigida
0:3
Nov 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Arucas
0:2
Apr 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arucas Compare

Top Goalscorer Frieh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Villa Santa Brigida Compare

Top Goalscorer Aparisi K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Wesemael J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arucas 31 / 100
Villa Santa Brigida 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arucas Villa Santa Brigida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arucas scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Villa Santa Brigida conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Arucas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arucas VS Villa Santa Brigida
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arucas

(Home)
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6

Villa Santa Brigida

(Away)
08 May
Telde
0 : 3
Villa Santa Brigida
01 May
Villa Santa Brigida
3 : 0
CD Marino
26 Apr
Mensajero
2 : 0
Villa Santa Brigida
18 Apr
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 2
Tenerife C
11 Apr
San Bartolome
2 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)