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Arukula Vigri vs Raasiku Joker - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup Arukula Stadium, Arukula
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
0 - 1
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Arukula Vigri
15%
Draws
57%
Raasiku Joker
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raasiku Joker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Raasiku Joker lately — more wins on the board than Arukula Vigri.
  • Model gives Raasiku Joker a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Raasiku Joker arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Raasiku Joker, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Arukula Vigri Clean Sheet 10%
Raasiku Joker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arukula Vigri Raasiku Joker
Matches Played 8 34
Wins 2 12
Draws 0 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1 1.97
Goals Conceded 5.63 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Estonian Cup
Arukula Vigri vs Raasiku Joker
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arukula Vigri 10 / 100
Raasiku Joker 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arukula Vigri Raasiku Joker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raasiku Joker Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raasiku Joker has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Difficult form: Raasiku Joker registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Arukula Vigri found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (8 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Arukula Vigri VS Raasiku Joker
1 Goals Scored 1.38
5.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arukula Vigri

(Home)
22 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 1
Raasiku Joker
30 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 4
Kristiine
13 Aug
Narva
7 : 0
Arukula Vigri
18 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
9 : 1
Arukula Vigri
06 Sept
JK Poseidon
2 : 3
Arukula Vigri
Page 1 of 2

Raasiku Joker

(Away)
12 Aug
Elva
:
Raasiku Joker
22 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 1
Raasiku Joker
20 Aug
Raasiku Joker
1 : 4
Nomme Utd
27 Jul
Tallinna Wolves
3 : 4
Raasiku Joker
25 Jul
Raasiku Joker
4 : 5
JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Tallinn -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri 1
Harju JK Laagri U21 2
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
1/16-finals
Flora -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Kose 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 0
Narva 8
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kalju 12
Hiiumaa 0
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 5
Kristiine 0
Kuressaare 8
Olympic Tallinn 0
Saku Sporting 7
Rumori Calcio 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tartu Helios 1
Viimsi JK 4
FC Tallinn 5
Harju JK Laagri U21 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Tamper 1
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Keila JK 3
Flora U19 2
1/8-finals
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Elva 3
Tallinna Kalev 2
Narva 2
Kalju 0
Nomme Utd 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Kuressaare 4
Saku Sporting 2
Tammeka Tartu 4
Viimsi JK 1
FC Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 10
Levadia 10
Keila JK 0
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -