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Arunachal vs Meghalaya

India India

Santosh Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arunachal play Meghalaya in the Santosh Trophy 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arunachal averaged 1.12 goals scored and 2.24 conceded. Meghalaya averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Arunachal won 0, Meghalaya won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 23, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Arunachal and 2.19 for Meghalaya. This points to a Meghalaya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Arunachal
30%
Draws
49%
Meghalaya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Meghalaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Arunachal picked up more points recently compared to Meghalaya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Arunachal Clean Sheet 10%
Meghalaya Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arunachal Meghalaya
Matches Played 17 33
Wins 3 13
Draws 4 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.12 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2025 Santosh Trophy
Arunachal vs Meghalaya
1:2
Nov 20, 2024 Santosh Trophy
Meghalaya vs Arunachal
4:3
Mar 1, 2024 Santosh Trophy
Arunachal vs Meghalaya
2:2
Dec 2, 2021 Santosh Trophy
Meghalaya vs Arunachal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arunachal Compare

Top Goalscorer Dolu T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Singpho R. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Meghalaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Lyngdoh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sohktung S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arunachal 21 / 100
Meghalaya 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arunachal Meghalaya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Meghalaya or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arunachal attacking → ← attacking Meghalaya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arunachal scored in 59% of their last 17 games.

Meghalaya let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Arunachal went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Meghalaya lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 51
1.83 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Services53119:310
2Goa FT523010:79
3Kerala52217:58
4Assam52128:97
5Meghalaya50324:63
6Arunachal50235:132
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manipur541010:413
2Mizoram521213:107
3Delhi football team521210:107
4Railways52124:107
5Maharashtra520310:96
6Karnataka50234:82