Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arvand Khorramshahr vs Khooneh

Iran Iran

Division 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arvand Khorramshahr play Khooneh in the Division 1 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arvand Khorramshahr averaged 0.54 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Khooneh averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Arvand Khorramshahr won 0, Khooneh won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2019 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Arvand Khorramshahr and 0.76 for Khooneh. This points to a Khooneh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Arvand Khorramshahr
31%
Draws
41%
Khooneh
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Khooneh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Arvand Khorramshahr picked up more points recently compared to Khooneh.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 0.76 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Arvand Khorramshahr Clean Sheet 27%
Khooneh Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 45%
Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arvand Khorramshahr Khooneh
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.54 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2019 Azadegan League
Khooneh vs Arvand Khorramshahr
3:0
Dec 15, 2018 Azadegan League
Arvand Khorramshahr vs Khooneh
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arvand Khorramshahr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Khooneh Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiani E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arvand Khorramshahr 31 / 100
Khooneh 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arvand Khorramshahr Khooneh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Khooneh or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arvand Khorramshahr attacking → ← attacking Khooneh

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arvand Khorramshahr scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Khooneh let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Arvand Khorramshahr went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Khooneh lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 31
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gol Gohar301513247:2658
2Shahin Bushehr301412434:1754
3Gol Reyhan Alborz30139830:1948
4Aluminium Arak301212627:2348
5Mes Kerman301211738:2247
6Havadar SC301110948:3843
7Baderan Tehran301110935:3243
8Qashqai Shiraz301161328:3439
9Fajr Sepasi309111026:2438
10Mes Rafsanjan30991240:4236
11Malavan301011929:2835
12Khooneh307101322:3031
13Navad Urmia307101323:4031
14Shahrdari Tabriz306101427:4528
15Arvand Khorramshahr306101417:3628
16Shahrdari Mahshahr305101519:3425
17Meshki Pooshan00000:00
18Bargh00000:00
19Naft Tehran00000:00
20Machine Sazi Tabriz00000:00
21Gostaresh00000:00
22Esteghlal Jonoub00000:00