Sport Picks

Iran

Division 1 2018/2019

Malavan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arvand Khorramshahr play Malavan in the Division 1 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arvand Khorramshahr averaged 0.54 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Malavan averaged 0.81 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Arvand Khorramshahr won 0, Malavan won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 31, 2019 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Arvand Khorramshahr and 0.99 for Malavan. This points to a Malavan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Arvand Khorramshahr

30%

Draws

42%

Malavan

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Malavan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Arvand Khorramshahr picked up more points recently compared to Malavan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.99 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 32%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Arvand Khorramshahr Clean Sheet 23%

Malavan Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 45%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arvand Khorramshahr	Malavan
Matches Played	28	42
Wins	6	16
Draws	8	13
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0.54	0.81
Goals Conceded	1.21	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2019 Azadegan League

Arvand Khorramshahr vs Malavan

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Sep 7, 2018 Azadegan League

Malavan vs Arvand Khorramshahr

Possession: 41% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arvand Khorramshahr 30 / 100

Malavan 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arvand Khorramshahr Malavan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Malavan or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +23.2%

3.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arvand Khorramshahr attacking → ← attacking Malavan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arvand Khorramshahr scored in 46% of their last 28 games.

Malavan let in goals in 57% of their last 42 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Arvand Khorramshahr went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Malavan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 61

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gol Gohar	30	15	13	2	47:26	58
2	Shahin Bushehr	30	14	12	4	34:17	54
3	Gol Reyhan Alborz	30	13	9	8	30:19	48
4	Aluminium Arak	30	12	12	6	27:23	48
5	Mes Kerman	30	12	11	7	38:22	47
6	Havadar SC	30	11	10	9	48:38	43
7	Baderan Tehran	30	11	10	9	35:32	43
8	Qashqai Shiraz	30	11	6	13	28:34	39
9	Fajr Sepasi	30	9	11	10	26:24	38
10	Mes Rafsanjan	30	9	9	12	40:42	36
11	Malavan	30	10	11	9	29:28	35
12	Khooneh	30	7	10	13	22:30	31
13	Navad Urmia	30	7	10	13	23:40	31
14	Shahrdari Tabriz	30	6	10	14	27:45	28
15	Arvand Khorramshahr	30	6	10	14	17:36	28
16	Shahrdari Mahshahr	30	5	10	15	19:34	25
17	Meshki Pooshan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	Bargh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
19	Naft Tehran	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
20	Machine Sazi Tabriz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
21	Gostaresh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
22	Esteghlal Jonoub	0	0	0	0	0:0	0