Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Arzachena and Paganese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paganese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Arzachena haven't matched Paganese's recent run of results.
- Model gives Arzachena a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arzachena | Paganese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 41 |
| Wins | 14 | 24 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arzachena Compare
Paganese Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Arzachena remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Arzachena found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Paganese has conceded goals in 49% of their last 41 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arzachena
(Home)Paganese
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 53:28 | 70 |
| 2 | Paganese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 56:29 | 68 |
| 3 | Casertana | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Arzachena | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 51:40 | 57 |
| 5 | Lupa Frascati | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:29 | 50 |
| 6 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:44 | 49 |
| 7 | Cassino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 8 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 51:55 | 45 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51:54 | 43 |
| 10 | Tivoli Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 11 | Vis Artena | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 24:28 | 41 |
| 12 | Portici 1906 | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 45:49 | 40 |
| 13 | Angri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Atletico Uri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 45:62 | 39 |
| 15 | Ilvamaddalena | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pomezia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 40:58 | 35 |
| 17 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:55 | 35 |
| 18 | Aprilia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:47 | 34 |
