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Arzachena vs Palmese 1914 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sartor M.
26' Event
Pinna G.
32' Event
Poli A.

AI Match Summary

Arzachena in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzachena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Arzachena
20%
Draws
19%
Palmese 1914
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arzachena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Palmese 1914 haven't matched Arzachena's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arzachena a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Arzachena Clean Sheet 68%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzachena Palmese 1914
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Palmese 1914
3:0
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Palmese 1914 vs Arzachena
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzachena Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartor M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinna G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Palmese 1914 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzachena 95 / 100
Palmese 1914 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzachena Palmese 1914

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzachena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Arzachena went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Arzachena's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Palmese 1914's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Palmese 1914
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzachena

(Home)
14 May
Casertana
3 : 3
Arzachena
07 May
Arzachena
2 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
30 Apr
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2
Arzachena
23 Apr
Arzachena
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
Page 1 of 6

Palmese 1914

(Away)
01 Oct
Juve Stabia
4 : 1
Palmese 1914
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)