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Arzignano vs Alcione Milano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arzignano host Alcione Milano in the Serie C - Group A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Arzignano have averaged 1.28 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Alcione Milano's 1.07 scored and 1.23 conceded. Head-to-head, Arzignano have won 1 to Alcione Milano's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.81 - 1.38) back Arzignano to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Arzignano
35%
Draws
32%
Alcione Milano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Arzignano have won more games recently than Alcione Milano.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alcione Milano here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 17%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano Alcione Milano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 14
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Arzignano
1:0
Sep 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Alcione Milano
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Arzignano
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Alcione Milano
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 31 / 100
Alcione Milano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano Alcione Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzignano found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Alcione Milano has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Arzignano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arzignano VS Alcione Milano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzignano

(Home)
01 Nov
Lumezzane
1 : 1
Arzignano
25 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 0
Novara
19 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 0
Arzignano
10 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 1
Juventus U23
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

Alcione Milano

(Away)
31 Oct
Giana Erminio
1 : 3
Alcione Milano
24 Oct
Alcione Milano
1 : 2
Carpi
18 Oct
Alcione Milano
4 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
11 Oct
Lecco
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 12 7 4 1 23:9 25
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 12 6 3 3 17:12 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 12 4 6 2 21:18 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)