Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Lorenzini F.
45'
45'
Bernardi E.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Alberti T. In: da Graca C.
Out: Alberti T.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Arzignano and Novara finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Arzignano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arzignano come out ahead of Novara on wins alone.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Arzignano taking it.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Novara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arzignano | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Novara
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Arzignano
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Arzignano
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Novara
0:2
Feb 17, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Novara
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arzignano Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Novara Compare
Top Goalscorer Valdesi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arzignano 86 / 100
Novara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arzignano Novara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ARZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Arzignano remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Arzignano found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Novara has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Away concern: Novara has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arzignano VS Novara
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Arzignano
(Home) 03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2 Arzignano
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0 Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3 Arzignano
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1 Arzignano
03 Apr
Arzignano
0 : 0 Renate
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0 Pro Vercelli
03 Apr
Arzignano
0 : 0 Renate
22 Mar
Arzignano
1 : 0 Cittadella
07 Mar
Arzignano
0 : 1 Lecco
27 Feb
Arzignano
1 : 1 Novara
Page 1 of 3
Novara
(Away) 26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1 Inter U23
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2 Novara
19 Apr
Novara
0 : 1 Cittadella
11 Apr
Vicenza
3 : 1 Novara
03 Apr
Novara
1 : 3 Lumezzane
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2 Novara
11 Apr
Vicenza
3 : 1 Novara
28 Mar
Renate
3 : 1 Novara
15 Mar
Lecco
0 : 0 Novara
03 Mar
Virtus Verona
0 : 2 Novara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
