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Arzignano vs Pro Vercelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Castegnaro L.
45' Event
Bernardi E.
Penalty Missed
52'
Moretti A.

AI Match Summary

Arzignano in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Arzignano
20%
Draws
23%
Pro Vercelli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arzignano lately — more wins on the board than Pro Vercelli.
  • Win probability leans Arzignano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arzignano have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano Pro Vercelli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pro Vercelli
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pro Vercelli
3:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Arzignano
0:5
Mar 9, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pro Vercelli
3:1
Oct 25, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Arzignano
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Romio J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pro Vercelli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 95 / 100
Pro Vercelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano Pro Vercelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzignano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pro Vercelli conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Arzignano scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Arzignano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arzignano VS Pro Vercelli
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzignano

(Home)
19 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 0
Arzignano
10 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 1
Juventus U23
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Pro Vercelli

(Away)
16 Oct
Pro Vercelli
0 : 5
Lecco
09 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 10 9 0 1 17:4 27
2 Trento 10 5 5 0 15:5 20
3 Union Brescia 10 5 4 1 17:8 19
4 Ospitaletto 10 5 3 2 17:9 18
5 Arzignano 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Treviso 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
7 Alcione Milano 10 3 6 1 17:15 15
8 Pergolettese 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
9 Lecco 10 3 4 3 12:9 13
10 AlbinoLeffe 10 3 4 3 16:15 13
11 Desenzano Calvina 10 3 4 3 9:11 13
12 Lumezzane 10 3 3 4 11:14 12
13 Novara 10 2 4 4 10:14 10
14 Dolomiti Bellunesi 10 2 4 4 7:12 10
15 Juventus U23 10 2 4 4 10:16 10
16 Carpi 10 2 3 5 14:20 9
17 Pro Vercelli 10 2 3 5 8:18 9
18 Giana Erminio 10 1 5 4 10:13 8
19 Folgore Caratese 10 1 3 6 9:15 6
20 Renate 10 0 4 6 9:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)