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Arzua vs CD Choco

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023
Arzua Logo

Arzua

3 - 1
FT
CD Choco Logo

CD Choco

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arzua in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Arzua
15%
Draws
0%
CD Choco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arzua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arzua lately — more wins on the board than CD Choco.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Arzua Clean Sheet 68%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzua CD Choco
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 0.81 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs CD Choco
3:1
Dec 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Arzua
1:1
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Arzua
2:0
Nov 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs CD Choco
1:1
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs CD Choco
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzua 41 / 100
CD Choco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzua CD Choco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Choco let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

CD Choco lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Arzua's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arzua VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzua

(Home)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
Page 1 of 7

CD Choco

(Away)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 30 17 10 3 47:18 61
2 Arosa SC 30 16 10 4 45:26 58
3 Rapido de Bouzas 30 14 14 2 39:24 56
4 Racing Club Villalbes 30 11 13 6 35:24 46
5 UD Ourense 30 11 12 7 38:30 45
6 Alondras 30 11 8 11 36:29 41
7 Atletico Arteixo 30 11 8 11 37:42 41
8 Somozas 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Estradense 30 11 6 13 33:38 39
10 Gran Pena 30 10 8 12 47:37 38
11 Paiosaco 30 11 4 15 31:42 37
12 Silva SD 30 10 7 13 38:46 37
13 Viveiro 30 9 10 11 29:37 37
14 Arzua 30 9 4 17 28:48 31
15 Barco 30 8 7 15 26:38 31
16 CD Choco 30 3 6 21 27:52 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 (Play Offs)