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Arzua vs Gran Pena

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Arzua Logo

Arzua

0 - 0
FT
Gran Pena Logo

Gran Pena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Arzua and Gran Pena finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Arzua
15%
Draws
64%
Gran Pena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gran Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gran Pena come out ahead of Arzua on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Gran Pena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Arzua Clean Sheet 10%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzua Gran Pena
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.73 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Gran Pena
0:0
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Arzua
4:1
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Arzua
3:1
Dec 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Gran Pena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzua 10 / 100
Gran Pena 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzua Gran Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gran Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gran Pena let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Arzua scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Arzua stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arzua VS Gran Pena
0 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzua

(Home)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
Page 1 of 6

Gran Pena

(Away)
06 Sept
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Lalin
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4
Gran Pena
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2
Alondras
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)