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Arzua vs Silva SD

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
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Match Events

31' Event
Rodriguez Mera L.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Arzua and Silva SD finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Arzua
20%
Draws
63%
Silva SD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Silva SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Silva SD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Silva SD taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Arzua Clean Sheet 16%
Silva SD Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzua Silva SD
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.73 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Silva SD
1:0
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Arzua
0:0
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Silva SD
0:1
Dec 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Silva SD vs Arzua
3:0
Mar 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Silva SD
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzua Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Mera L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Silva SD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzua 10 / 100
Silva SD 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzua Silva SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Silva SD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Silva SD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Arzua scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Arzua stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arzua VS Silva SD
0 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzua

(Home)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
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Silva SD

(Away)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Silva SD
1 : 1
Celtiga
09 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Silva SD
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)