Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Acireale vs San Luca

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Dampha A.
Own Goal
46' Event
Bukva A.
75' Event
Romano G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

AS Acireale in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Acireale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
AS Acireale
20%
Draws
48%
San Luca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Luca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • AS Acireale have won more games recently than San Luca.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on AS Acireale taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
AS Acireale Clean Sheet 68%
San Luca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Acireale San Luca
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 12 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs AS Acireale
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs San Luca
2:1
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs AS Acireale
1:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs San Luca
1:1
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs AS Acireale
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Acireale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

San Luca Compare

Top Goalscorer Bukva A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Acireale 59 / 100
San Luca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Acireale San Luca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Acireale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AS Acireale scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

San Luca let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

San Luca lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Acireale VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Acireale

(Home)
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1
AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
Nissa
Page 1 of 7

San Luca

(Away)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)