Sport Picks
Match Events
70'
70'
Lachheb C.
87'
87'
Lazzez H.
90'
90'
Ezzine A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between AS Agareb and Sfax Railways finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sfax Railways.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sfax Railways
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sfax Railways carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sfax Railways have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 24%
Sfax Railways Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Agareb | Sfax Railways |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2026 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs AS Agareb
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Sfax Railways
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Ligue 2
Sfax Railways vs AS Agareb
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Sfax Railways
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Agareb Compare
Top Goalscorer Lachheb C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Sfax Railways Compare
Top Goalscorer Lazzez H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ezzine A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Agareb 37 / 100
Sfax Railways 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Agareb Sfax Railways
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sfax Railways Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AS Agareb found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Sfax Railways let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: AS Agareb remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AS Agareb VS Sfax Railways
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Agareb
(Home) 11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
21 Apr
AS Agareb
1 : 0 BS Bouhajla
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
21 Apr
AS Agareb
1 : 0 BS Bouhajla
05 Apr
AS Agareb
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
23 Mar
AS Agareb
1 : 4 Stade Gabesien
28 Feb
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Kerkennah
Page 1 of 3
Sfax Railways
(Away) 11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0 Bousalem
13 Apr
BS Bouhajla
1 : 2 Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Hamam-Sousse
2 : 2 Sfax Railways
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
13 Apr
BS Bouhajla
1 : 2 Sfax Railways
29 Mar
EM Mahdia
0 : 0 Sfax Railways
22 Mar
Jendouba Sport
2 : 0 Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
