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AS Arta vs Garde Republicaine

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between AS Arta and Garde Republicaine finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Arta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
AS Arta
20%
Draws
19%
Garde Republicaine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Arta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Arta come out ahead of Garde Republicaine on wins alone.
  • Model gives AS Arta a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
AS Arta Clean Sheet 68%
Garde Republicaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Arta Garde Republicaine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2025 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs AS Arta
0:0
Nov 28, 2024 Division 1
AS Arta vs Garde Republicaine
2:0
May 10, 2024 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs AS Arta
1:4
Dec 29, 2023 Division 1
AS Arta vs Garde Republicaine
1:0
May 26, 2023 Division 1
Garde Republicaine vs AS Arta
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Arta 95 / 100
Garde Republicaine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Arta Garde Republicaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Arta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Arta has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AS Arta scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Garde Republicaine conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AS Arta VS Garde Republicaine
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Arta

(Home)
24 May
AS Arta
1 : 0
Garde-Cotes
02 May
AS Arta
4 : 0
Hopital
24 Apr
Port
1 : 2
AS Arta
18 Apr
Gendarmerie
2 : 3
AS Arta
11 Apr
Dikhil
0 : 0
AS Arta
Page 1 of 6

Garde Republicaine

(Away)
30 Jul
Mahia
1 : 0
Garde Republicaine
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Garde Republicaine
01 Jun
Garde Republicaine
3 : 0
FC Arta
01 May
Port
0 : 0
Garde Republicaine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASAS 18 12 4 2 44:17 40
2 Garde-Cotes 18 10 5 3 27:12 32
3 AS Arta 18 9 4 5 27:17 31
4 Dikhil 18 8 5 5 27:19 29
5 Port 18 8 3 7 16:15 27
6 Gendarmerie 18 6 8 4 21:19 26
7 Garde Republicaine 18 6 5 7 15:18 23
8 FC Arta 18 2 7 9 21:31 13
9 Hopital 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
10 Nurie Transit 18 1 5 12 17:41 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)