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AS Biellese vs Celle Varazze Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Brancato D.
16' Event
Naamad J.
33' Event
Finizio D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between AS Biellese and Celle Varazze finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Biellese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
AS Biellese
20%
Draws
17%
Celle Varazze
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Biellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • AS Biellese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AS Biellese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 20%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Biellese Celle Varazze
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Celle Varazze
6:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs AS Biellese
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Biellese Compare

Top Goalscorer Finizio D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brancato D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Celle Varazze Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Biellese 85 / 100
Celle Varazze 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Biellese Celle Varazze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Biellese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Biellese found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

AS Biellese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Celle Varazze let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Biellese VS Celle Varazze
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Biellese

(Home)
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1
AS Biellese
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Celle Varazze

(Away)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)