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AS Biellese vs Sestri Levante

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pavan N.
59' Event
Naamad J.

AI Match Summary

AS Biellese in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Biellese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AS Biellese
30%
Draws
47%
Sestri Levante
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sestri Levante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sestri Levante at 1.57 per game, AS Biellese at 1.5.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 20%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Biellese Sestri Levante
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Sestri Levante
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs AS Biellese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Biellese Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naamad J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sestri Levante Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Biellese 32 / 100
Sestri Levante 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Biellese Sestri Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Biellese's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sestri Levante conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

AS Biellese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Biellese VS Sestri Levante
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Biellese

(Home)
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1
AS Biellese
09 May
AS Biellese
1 : 2
Varese FC
03 May
Vado
3 : 2
AS Biellese
26 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Gozzano
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1
AS Biellese
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Sestri Levante

(Away)
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
19 Aug
Sampdoria U20
1 : 4
Sestri Levante
15 Aug
Sestri Levante
1 : 1
Genoa U20
10 Aug
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Vado
07 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2
Sestri Levante
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)