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Stadium Background

AS Biellese vs Valenzana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
De Mori R.
12' Event
Beltrame S.
22' Event
Brancato D.

AI Match Summary

AS Biellese in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Biellese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AS Biellese
15%
Draws
34%
Valenzana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Biellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Biellese lately — more wins on the board than Valenzana.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on AS Biellese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AS Biellese here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 19%
Valenzana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Biellese Valenzana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Valenzana vs AS Biellese
3:0
Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Valenzana
4:1
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Valenzana vs AS Biellese
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Valenzana
2:0
May 6, 2007 Lega Pro C2/A
AS Biellese vs Valenzana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Biellese Compare

Top Goalscorer De Mori R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Beltrame S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Valenzana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Biellese 85 / 100
Valenzana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Biellese Valenzana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Biellese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Biellese scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Valenzana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Valenzana registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Biellese VS Valenzana
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Biellese

(Home)
01 Nov
AS Biellese
4 : 1
Millesimo
28 Oct
Valenzana
3 : 0
AS Biellese
25 Oct
Alessandria
2 : 0
AS Biellese
18 Oct
AS Biellese
4 : 1
Valenzana
11 Oct
Imperia Calcio
2 : 1
AS Biellese
Page 1 of 6

Valenzana

(Away)
01 Nov
Celle Varazze
2 : 1
Valenzana
28 Oct
Valenzana
3 : 0
AS Biellese
25 Oct
Valenzana
0 : 1
Ligorna
18 Oct
AS Biellese
4 : 1
Valenzana
11 Oct
Valenzana
1 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)