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AS Biellese vs Varese FC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
AS Biellese
39%
Draws
31%
Varese FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Biellese lately — more wins on the board than Varese FC.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 68%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Biellese Varese FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Varese FC
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Varese FC
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs AS Biellese
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Biellese 41 / 100
Varese FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Biellese Varese FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Biellese scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Varese FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

AS Biellese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Biellese VS Varese FC
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216