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AS Biellese vs Varese FC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
AS Biellese Logo

AS Biellese

0 - 0
FT
Varese FC Logo

Varese FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AS Biellese
35%
Draws
32%
Varese FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Biellese lately — more wins on the board than Varese FC.
  • AS Biellese are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 68%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Biellese Varese FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.61 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Varese FC
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Varese FC
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs AS Biellese
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Biellese 50 / 100
Varese FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Biellese Varese FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Biellese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Biellese scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Varese FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: AS Biellese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

AS Biellese VS Varese FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Biellese

(Home)
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1
AS Biellese
09 May
AS Biellese
1 : 2
Varese FC
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Varese FC

(Away)
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Varese FC
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1
Varese FC
19 Aug
Varese FC
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)