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AS Douanes vs Maya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade Demba Diop, Dakar
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Douanes host Maya in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Maya have shipped 0.67 goals a game lately, while AS Douanes have conceded 0.9 and scored 0.9. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.63 - 0.50) back AS Douanes to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
AS Douanes
15%
Draws
59%
Maya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Douanes come out ahead of Maya on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 20%
Maya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Douanes Maya
Matches Played 31 3
Wins 10 1
Draws 13 1
Losses 8 1
Goals Scored 0.9 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Douanes 36 / 100
Maya 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Douanes Maya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Douanes found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Maya has conceded goals in 67% of their last 3 outings.

AS Douanes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Maya's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Douanes VS Maya
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Douanes

(Home)
03 Oct
Rahimo
1 : 2
AS Douanes
27 Sept
AS Douanes
0 : 1
Sporting Cascades
19 Sept
FocuSport
1 : 0
AS Douanes
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2
CFFEB
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
Page 1 of 7

Maya

(Away)
04 Oct
Maya
1 : 0
CFFEB
26 Sept
Real Du Faso
1 : 1
Maya
19 Sept
Maya
0 : 1
USFA

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USFA 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 FocuSport 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Vitesse 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 ASFA Yennega 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
5 Rahimo 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 Majestic 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
7 Real Du Faso 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
8 Maya 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Sporting Cascades 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 ASF Dioulasso 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 CFFEB 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Sonabel Ouagadougou 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
13 AS Douanes 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
14 US Comoe 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
15 Kadiogo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
16 Salitas 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)