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AS Dragon vs Mont Dore

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2012/2013
AS Dragon Logo

AS Dragon

1 - 1
FT
Mont Dore Logo

Mont Dore

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2012/2013 game between AS Dragon and Mont Dore finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
AS Dragon
15%
Draws
21%
Mont Dore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Dragon come out ahead of Mont Dore on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on AS Dragon taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2012/2013 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AS Dragon Clean Sheet 20%
Mont Dore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Dragon Mont Dore
Matches Played 21 19
Wins 6 1
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.48 0.95
Goals Conceded 2.33 3.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2013 OFC Champions League
AS Dragon vs Mont Dore
1:1
Apr 5, 2013 OFC Champions League
Mont Dore vs AS Dragon
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Dragon 67 / 100
Mont Dore 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Dragon Mont Dore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Dragon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mont Dore has conceded goals in 100% of their last 19 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Mont Dore registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: AS Dragon scored in 57% of their last 21 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Dragon VS Mont Dore
1.25 Goals Scored 1.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.33
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Dragon

(Home)
30 Nov
SU Dives
6 : 1
AS Dragon
17 Nov
AS Dragon
3 : 2
Avranches
25 Feb
Pirae
7 : 3
AS Dragon
18 Feb
AS Dragon
0 : 2
Pirae
18 Nov
Versailles
2 : 0
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 5

Mont Dore

(Away)
28 Apr
Mont Dore
2 : 3
Waitakere United
24 Apr
AS Dragon
1 : 1
Mont Dore
17 Apr
Waitakere United
3 : 1
Mont Dore
13 Apr
Auckland City
12 : 2
Mont Dore
05 Apr
Mont Dore
1 : 4
AS Dragon
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Amicale 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 PNG Hekari 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
4 Solomon Warriors 6 1 1 4 7:15 4
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waitakere United 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
2 Auckland City 6 3 1 2 19:8 10
3 AS Dragon 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
4 Mont Dore 6 0 1 5 7:25 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)