Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Dragon vs Pirae

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Labaste A.
80' Event
Paama M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Pirae advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AS Dragon
15%
Draws
49%
Pirae
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pirae

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Pirae carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pirae's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Pirae arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pirae, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AS Dragon Clean Sheet 10%
Pirae Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Dragon Pirae
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.48 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 OFC Champions League
Pirae vs AS Dragon
7:3
Feb 18, 2023 OFC Champions League
AS Dragon vs Pirae
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Dragon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Pirae Compare

Top Goalscorer Labaste A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paama M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Dragon 18 / 100
Pirae 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Dragon Pirae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pirae Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirae's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Pirae's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

AS Dragon scored in 57% of their last 21 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Dragon VS Pirae
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Dragon

(Home)
30 Nov
SU Dives
6 : 1
AS Dragon
17 Nov
AS Dragon
3 : 2
Avranches
25 Feb
Pirae
7 : 3
AS Dragon
18 Feb
AS Dragon
0 : 2
Pirae
18 Nov
Versailles
2 : 0
AS Dragon
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Pirae

(Away)
15 Nov
Carnoux F.C.
5 : 1
Pirae
05 Apr
Pirae
1 : 1
Tiga Sport
02 Apr
Rewa
0 : 1
Pirae
30 Mar
Auckland City
1 : 0
Pirae
25 May
Auckland City
4 : 0
Pirae
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Suva 3
Rewa 2
Hienghene Sport 1
Tiga Sport 5
Wellington Olympic 4
Auckland City 6
PNG Hekari 4
Lae City 1
Kossa 2
Solomon Warriors 3
AS Dragon 3
Pirae 9
Sia-Raga 0
Ifira Blackbird 4